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Is Trump’s decision to campaign outside of battleground states a display of confidence or hubris?


Former President Donald Trump is breaking from the traditional battleground states this week to host rallies in New Mexico and Virginia, where he lost by double digits in 2020, and he is considering a trip to New Hampshire as well. The Trump campaign is confident in their chances in these states and believes they can expand the electoral map due to Trump’s diverse coalition and favorable momentum. Despite trailing in public polls in these states, Trump is focused on driving turnout and hammering his closing message to draw a contrast with Vice President Kamala Harris. The campaign believes that Trump’s support may be undercounted in polls, as evidenced by rightward movement in states like Arizona and the potential for new Republican voters. Trump’s decision to campaign in these non-traditional states has led some Republicans to question whether he is overruling his political team, but campaign officials maintain that each visit is strategically planned and based on a belief in winning these states. By dispatching prominent Democrats-turned-Republicans to key areas and focusing on driving turnout, the Trump campaign is expressing confidence in their ability to secure victory in the upcoming election.

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