The recent massacre has triggered a series of retaliatory diplomatic actions between India and Pakistan, including visa cancellations and the recall of diplomats. India has suspended a critical water-sharing treaty and closed its border with Pakistan. Armed skirmishes have erupted along the Line of Control in Kashmir, which is divided between the two nations. In response to the escalating tensions, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowed to take retributive action and convened a security committee meeting with military and security advisors.
Experts note that India’s stance towards Pakistan has been shaped by domestic pressures, particularly in the aftermath of terrorist attacks. Srinath Raghavan, a professor at Ashoka University, emphasizes that Modi’s government feels compelled to respond decisively to maintain its credibility. The changing geopolitical landscape, especially following the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, has also heightened tensions, a factor that traditionally served to deter conflict between the two nuclear-armed states.
Former President Donald Trump commented on the situation, indicating that India and Pakistan would eventually resolve their disagreements independently, while acknowledging the historical tensions between them. Raghavan points out that the Indian military historically operates with a degree of autonomy, making decisions on the targets and methods of response, though these actions are ultimately presented to the civilian leadership for approval.
This current environment reflects a complex interplay of domestic expectations, strategic military autonomy, and evolving international dynamics that could further influence the actions of both nations in the coming days.
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